SCOTUS Upholds Obamacare, or Why Romney will Win the Presidency

By now, everyone has heard the Supreme Court ruling this morning. In a vote of 5-4, with Chief Justice Roberts siding with the more liberal justices, the Supreme Court of the United States, affectionately known as SCOTUS, ruled that the Affordable Care Act, popularly called “Obamacare,” was upheld as constitutional.

Furthermore, the same vote held that the individual mandate, arguably the most controversial element of the original legislation, was constitutional, though not by the Commerce Clause, but rather as a tax on the American People.

Finally, with a vote of 7-2, with justices Breyer and Kagan being the only voices in decent, the threat of withholding Medicaid and Medicare funding from those states which opposed the legislation was struck down as unconstitutional.

So what is left to the politicians, the analysts, the political pundits, and most importantly the American people, is to decide not the constitutionality of the bill, but what this ruling means for the bill and for the country moving forward; and while there will be many volleys, arguments, and justifications in the coming days, weeks, and months, I want to propose only one. There is one and only one thing which this ruling determines, and it is very simple. It comes in two parts, and it is this:

The SCOTUS ruling on Obamacare means that Mitt Romney will be the next President of the United States, and it means that Obamacare, at least the more controversial parts thereof, will be repealed and replaced by the then entirely Republican controlled Congress.

In 2010, Democrats experienced landslide losses in both the House and the Senate due to the overwhelming unpopularity of Obamacare. The only reason they did not lose control of both the House and Senate was because they had amassed large majorities during the unpopular Bush administration.

Then, knowing that the Bill would be addressed by the Supreme Court, Republicans relaxed somewhat. Tea Party protests died down, and there was a collective breath of relief. Clearly, the wise, conservative controlled SCOTUS would strike down, if nothing else, this obviously unconstitutional individual mandate.

Well they didn’t, and now the rage is back. The anger is back. The passion is back. The tea is back. There can be no doubt that the Supreme Court ruling will have a galvanizing effect for the oft-disorganized GOP. The fact of the matter is that this bill is completely unpopular. Sixty percent of people believe that it impedes on their personal rights as Americans. There will be sweeping losses amongst incumbents in Congress, and those who supported this bill will have to answer not only to their political adversaries, but more importantly to their constituents.

I will write blogs later about the horrors of this ruling. I’ll point out that the tax ruling that SCOTUS allowed gives the federal government nigh unlimited power. That is not the point of this blog, however. This blog is only to point out that today, on the day of what may be the biggest victory of the Obama Administration, he ought to begin preparing for life after the presidency…

Because I guarantee, it’s coming sooner rather than later. 


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